Rising Tensions and Slowdown to Impact Nvidia Valuation As we noted in our October 19th post, rising geopolitical tension resulting from the new chip export restrictions will impact semiconductor companies like Nvidia. After the restrictions were announced Nvida's stock fell. …
Is the Valuation of Apple Pricing in Geo-politics? Our view is that the market is partially pricing in the risks that Apple could face from what we see as increasing tensions between the US and China. We recently looked at…
Regional Geo-Politics and Economic Interests One of the casualties of the escalation in Gaza has been the recent India-Middle East- Europe Economic Corridor (IMEEC) was announced during the G20 meeting in India. The first step to this plan was the…
Geo-politics, Market Sentiment - NVDA and INTC Rising geopolitical risks resulting in the implementation of new chip export restrictions will have significant implications for prominent companies in the semiconductor industry such as Nvidia and Intel. These restrictions have affected their…
Escalation to Iran and Risk to Strait of Hormuz Any threat to the world's most important energy choke point, the Strait of Hormuz, will rattle the global energy markets. Thus the Israel-Hamas War could escalate into a wider conflict. With…
Escalating Risk Ends in Unity Government The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has once again escalated, resulting in a high risk of an all-out war. The recent Hamas attack has caught many by surprise, leading to increased tensions in…
A 16-year High in the 10-year Bond Raises Costs and Risk The 10-year bond is the benchmark rate that the market uses to price all sorts of financial assets for both households and businesses. For exampale, it is used in…
We expect more pain in this sector at least in the short to medium term. Saudi Arabia along with Russia as part of Opec+ had agreed to keep the production cuts and a weaking outlook may have played a…
Oil Stock Valuations Face High Uncertainty Our recent articles on oil prices and oil stocks raised several risks to the oil price and broader economy. Given where we are in the global economic cycle, the article argued a negative view…
Surging Oil Prices and Analysis of Oil Stocks Oil Prices and Oil Stocks have been a topic of intense discussion and analysis in recent times. The volatility in the energy sector and the invasion of Ukraine have had a significant…